Options Are Overpriced

I just skimmed a good study on options: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=424384


A Portfolio Perspective on Option Pricing Anomalies
JOOST DRIESSEN University of Amsterdam Business SchoolPASCAL J. MAENHOUT INSEAD - Finance
October 2004AFA 2004 San Diego Meetings; EFA 2003 Annual Conference Paper No. 916

Abstract: We empirically study the economic benefits of giving investors access to index options in the context of the standard asset allocation problem. We analyze both expected-utility and non-expected-utility investors in order to understand who optimally buys and sells in option markets. We solve the portfolio problem with a flexible empirical methodology that does not rely on specific assumptions about the process of the underlying equity index. Using data on S&P 500 index options (1987-2001) we consider returns on OTM put options and ATM straddles. CRRA investors find it always optimal to short put options and straddles, regardless of their risk aversion. The option positions are economically and statistically significant and robust to corrections for transaction costs, margin requirements, and Peso problems. Surprisingly, loss-averse and disappointment-averse investors also optimally hold short positions in puts and straddles. Because derivatives are in zero net supply, this suggests that generating empirically relevant option prices in an equilibrium model is a challenging task, even with investor heterogeneity and even with commonly-studied behavioral preferences. Only when loss aversion is combined with highly distorted probability assessments, can we obtain positive portfolio weights for puts and straddles.